Canada Needs More Homes to Sustain Affordability

We've been keeping a close eye on the shifting landscape of affordability in Canadian real estate—and it’s clear there are challenges ahead. While recent months have brought some relief, those gains remain on shaky ground as new construction, especially for ownership-focused homes, has slowed dramatically. Current estimates show that to bring affordability back to pre-pandemic levels by 2036, Canada will need between 417,000 and 469,000 new housing starts each year. That’s a tall order, and the gap hasn’t really narrowed.

Across the country, most of the new housing supply is coming from rentals, with ownership housing starts lagging behind. Even though added rentals are helping to balance conditions, the drop in ownership construction is a real concern for anyone hoping to buy in the years ahead. While slower population growth has temporarily helped with affordability, the reality is that construction has slowed even more quickly than demand. That means if demand picks up again, we could see affordability slip right back out of reach.

For those of us focused on helping Medicine Hat and surrounding communities navigate these changes, the bottom line is clear: keeping ownership construction active now is essential. It’s the best way to safeguard against a deeper home supply shortfall down the road and support homeownership options for families here. If you’re looking for up-to-date information about the local market, our site has you covered with the latest listings and insights.

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